Post by repole ಠ_ಠ on Jul 23, 2011 10:34:46 GMT -5
Top 10s Part 1 - PGs
Top 10s Part 2 - PFs
Top 10s Part 3 - SGs - GO VOTE!
Glossary:
fbb_oRtg - a player's points produced per 100 possessions used, taking into account shooting efficiency, turnover rate, and offensive rebounding. League average is 111.8.
TS% - A true measure of shooting efficiency, similar to eFG% except it also factors in free throws. League average is 53.5%.
TO% - The percentage of possessions a player turned the ball over. Again, assists are not factored into possessions. League average is 11.6%.
REB% - The percentage of available rebounds a player grabbed while on the court. League average is 10%.
BLK% - Percentage of the opponents shots a player blocks. League average is .33%.
STL% - Percentage of opponents possessions that a player ends with a steal. League average is .33%.
SF Top 10 Rankings
These rankings do not take contract or age into account, only who the best players in the league are right now, at this very moment. To decide that, I've used stats primarily from this season combined with ratings and a given player's statistical history.
The SF class seems to be the deepest of all, there are going to be a ton of people who are offended not to see their SF on here, which is understandable, but there is an overload of great SFs in this league. The typical SF in this league seems to not be as good of a shooter as SGs or PGs, but do a much, much better job at limiting turnovers and rebounding the ball.
1. Dean Hollis SF 25 6'10'' 223 B+ A C A- B+ B
-Hollis not being on the All League 1st Team is an absolute travesty on my opinion. Offensively he's the best player in the league, hand down. No offense to Omar Green or Rickey Francis, but Hollis is better. He doesn't put up quite the volume they do, but he's even more efficient. His TS% is among the best in the league, and his turnovers are ridiculously low. What helps separate him is he's an excellent rebounder as well, something Green in particular struggles with. Defensively Hollis isn't anything special, but he's solid in that regard and will accumulate his fair share of steals. All in all, he's a pretty damn complete player and an absolute dominant force on the offensive end.
2. Jarrett Jordan SF 28 6'8'' 232 C+ A C+ A- C+ D
-Most people will probably argue this, and I don't blame them, but Jordan's a better offensive player than Perry Jones, and it really isn't that close. Jordan's shooting percentages are fantastic, he keeps his turnovers low, and defensively he's pretty damn solid. He may not be Perry Jones in that regard, but he can block a shot here and there, pick up a few steals, and play some solid man to man defense. On top of that he's a quality rebounder, and puts up a pretty good amount of volume. Again, I expect most people to disagree with this, but I'd undoubtedly rather have Jordan than Jones.
3. Perry Jones SF 35 7'0'' 230 B+ A- A- A A- D
-Jones is here because he puts up huge volume and is a hell of a defender. Efficiency wise he's pretty good, but not up to the caliber of Jordan or Hollis, or even the guys ranked below him. He's not a particularly efficient shooter, and he turns the ball over a decent amount. His defense is elite though, and he's an excellent rebounder. At the end of the day I don't think he helps your team win more than Jordan or Hollis, but I can certainly see someone making that case. His biggest flaws are still above average, and a team full of players as efficient as Jones would be the best offense in the league, so he's by no means going to be a drag on your offense, he just isn't going to be as big of a boost as Hollis or Jordan.
4. J.T. Irish SF 26 6'6'' 206 C+ A C A B C
-As you'll notice progressing down this list, there are a lot of SFs who shoot lights out, limit their turnovers, and play defense. There aren't many however that do all three while putting up big volume however like J.T. Irish does. If the Celtics are wondering how they managed to win 7 more games then the worst team in the league, the answer is Irish. He'll be turning 27 soon, at which point the Celtics may have to evaluate what direction they want to go with him. It seems likely they'll have to move on, and if that's the case, hopefully Irish ends up in a situation where he can actually win some games. He certainly deserves it.
5. Jason Paulson SF 28 6'4'' 217 B+ A C- A C C
-Paulson's a guy who hasn't gotten much hype and doesn't seem to get too much love around the league. On the surface nothing really sticks out about Paulson, but his value is in his ability to do pretty much everything at a well above average rate. He's a plus rebounder at SF, a plus shot blocker, limits his turnovers, makes his shots, does pretty much everything well. His defense is elite at the position, and offensively he puts up a pretty solid amount of volume for the Bulls despite all their scoring options. I doubt most in the league would take Paulson over guys like Ramsey or Quincy, but it's a no brainer for me.
6. Cliff Hagan SF 24 6'5'' 215 B+ A- C+ B C+ B
-The price of acquiring an elite center like O'Mara was expected to be steep, but DBW did a hell of a job in picking up a piece like Hagan. Cliff had himself what is likely the best sophomore campaign from his draft class, including out performing number one overall pick Elgin Baylor. His skillset is pretty run of the mill, he's not much of a defender, but his offensive game greatly benefits from his ability to keep the ball secure. I'm not sure how much upside Hagan has left, but there's no reason to think this guy won't be one of the top offensive shooting guards in the league for a long time.
7. Albert Smith SF 23 6'10'' 225 B+ A- C+ B+ C+ B
-The Spurs sport one of the bust duos on the wing with Smith and Arizin. Smith isn't the best shooter in this group of SFs, largely because he isn't a big time three point shooter, but he makes up for it by rarely turning the ball over. His rebound rate, like most of the other SFs on this list is very solid, and defensively he gets the job done. At only 23, like Hagan I expect Smith to be a top 10 SF for a long time, though I don't know that he'll keep moving up as he likely doesn't have a ton of upside left.
8. Michael Gilchrist SF 33 6'7'' 214 A- A C- A B C
-Gilchrist has some of the best looking ratings in the entire league. Despite that, his production has always seemed a bit underwhelming to me. His TS% is pretty mediocre, which I just don't understand coming from a guy with A- A shooting ratings. Ironically, he sports one of the lowest turnover rates despite his C- handling rating. I'd love to know what Gilchrist's ratings look like under the hood, because there's definitely something a little bit funky going on with him. All in all though, he's still a big time offensive scorer with above average efficiency, and though he doesn't put up big block or steal numbers, he's a quality defender.
9. Antonio Ramsey SF 29 6'9'' 266 A- B+ C B B C
-One of the biggest volume scorers in the league, Ramsey was stuck on a pretty awful 76ers team this season. I hesitated putting Ramsey in the top 10 largely because I figure a player as good as him should have been able to lead the 76ers to a few more wins, but at the end of the day he's putting up as much volume as anyone on this list and doing so at a relatively efficient rate. He's one of the best inside scorers in the league, and though his turnover rate isn't outstanding, it's still pretty low. Defensively he isn't going to help a team out too much, but he'll pick up a block or steal here or there, do a nice job on the glass, and in the end he shouldn't really hurt your team on the defensive side of the ball. There are a number of teams that could use a guy like this, I'm pretty surprised the 76ers didn't find him a new home during the season, but I expect to see Ramsey helping a contender out next year.
10. J.D. Quincy SF 26 6'5'' 225 A- A- B+ B+ B+ C
-J.D. is essentially a worse version of Perry Jones. He makes this list mainly because of his defensive impact. He's a hell of a shot blocker, ball hawk, and rebounder. Offensively though, he just doesn't stack up to the other SFs on this list. A lot of people probably wondered how the Hornets offense wasn't off the charts elite, but Quincy is the reason. His TS% is alright, above average for the league but below average for SFs. His turnover rate is way, way too high. It's a big time problem, and it drags down his efficiency in a major way. I don't know that I'd want Quincy as an option on my team to be honest, which when you look at his ratings is really, really disappointing. Perhaps I'm being rough on him, but offensively he doesn't come close to the other guys on this list.
Honorable Mention:
Ricky Roe - Still one of the better offensive SFs in the league. His defense is pretty brutal though, and with so many great SFs I just couldn't convince myself to put him in the top 10.
Kwan Xi - Efficiency superstar, if you need a role player Kwan Xi is pretty much the ultimate. He won't put up volume, but he's an awesome rebounder, shoots the ball really well, and doesn't turn the ball over.
Calvin Fewell - Ugly ratings, great results. Statistically he belongs in the top 10.
AJ Perkins - He's solid, not really great at anything, but still above average in efficiency.
Derrick Williams - His rebounding at SF is a huge plus, but not off the charts efficient like the other guys on this list.
Sam Jones - Everything outside of his scoring is awesome, but his scoring is really mediocre at this point. It's his rookie season, he'll certainly get better, but it's tough for guys without a 3 point shot to really be quality offensive options in FBB.
Elgin Baylor - Solid all around, the turnovers are a pretty big problem though. He'll definitely crack this list in the near future though.
Kevin White - Turnover prone and his shooting percentages aren't great, but his rebounding helps make up for it.
Wayne Worthington - Doesn't turn the ball over, blocks shots, but not the most efficient shooter.
Ryan Edison - Nice efficient role player, could shoot better though.
Dishonorable Mention:
J.J. Erving - He had an awful season, but I still have faith in him. He would have made the top 10 a year ago, I have to think his performance was due to bad luck and small sample size. Despite the awful shooting, his oRtg was still average-ish.
J.D. Quincy - Yeah, I have him in the top 10, but it's really ridiculous how mediocre he is offensively with those ratings.
Jack Twyman - Him and Hagan came into the league with similar ratings, but Twyman's production can't touch Hagan's.
Nolan Ellison - Turnover prone and doesn't shoot well.
Amos Sexson - Turnovers galore
Timothy Rouser - See above.
Randy Sharpe - AWFUL shooter.
Top 10s Part 2 - PFs
Top 10s Part 3 - SGs - GO VOTE!
Glossary:
fbb_oRtg - a player's points produced per 100 possessions used, taking into account shooting efficiency, turnover rate, and offensive rebounding. League average is 111.8.
TS% - A true measure of shooting efficiency, similar to eFG% except it also factors in free throws. League average is 53.5%.
TO% - The percentage of possessions a player turned the ball over. Again, assists are not factored into possessions. League average is 11.6%.
REB% - The percentage of available rebounds a player grabbed while on the court. League average is 10%.
BLK% - Percentage of the opponents shots a player blocks. League average is .33%.
STL% - Percentage of opponents possessions that a player ends with a steal. League average is .33%.
SF Top 10 Rankings
These rankings do not take contract or age into account, only who the best players in the league are right now, at this very moment. To decide that, I've used stats primarily from this season combined with ratings and a given player's statistical history.
The SF class seems to be the deepest of all, there are going to be a ton of people who are offended not to see their SF on here, which is understandable, but there is an overload of great SFs in this league. The typical SF in this league seems to not be as good of a shooter as SGs or PGs, but do a much, much better job at limiting turnovers and rebounding the ball.
1. Dean Hollis SF 25 6'10'' 223 B+ A C A- B+ B
fbb_oRtg | TS% | TO% | REB% | BLK% | STL% |
133.5 | 61.60% | 6.17% | 8.70% | 0.70% | 1.60% |
2. Jarrett Jordan SF 28 6'8'' 232 C+ A C+ A- C+ D
fbb_oRtg | TS% | TO% | REB% | BLK% | STL% |
128.5 | 60.60% | 9.43% | 7.00% | 1.30% | 1.30% |
3. Perry Jones SF 35 7'0'' 230 B+ A- A- A A- D
fbb_oRtg | TS% | TO% | REB% | BLK% | STL% |
119.3 | 56.10% | 10.14% | 8.80% | 1.50% | 1.70% |
4. J.T. Irish SF 26 6'6'' 206 C+ A C A B C
fbb_oRtg | TS% | TO% | REB% | BLK% | STL% |
124.7 | 57.80% | 7.71% | 7.80% | 0.50% | 2.60% |
5. Jason Paulson SF 28 6'4'' 217 B+ A C- A C C
fbb_oRtg | TS% | TO% | REB% | BLK% | STL% |
121.3 | 56.40% | 8.12% | 5.40% | 1.70% | 1.70% |
6. Cliff Hagan SF 24 6'5'' 215 B+ A- C+ B C+ B
fbb_oRtg | TS% | TO% | REB% | BLK% | STL% |
121 | 55.90% | 7.75% | 7.40% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
7. Albert Smith SF 23 6'10'' 225 B+ A- C+ B+ C+ B
fbb_oRtg | TS% | TO% | REB% | BLK% | STL% |
119 | 55.40% | 8.36% | 7.30% | 1.00% | 1.40% |
8. Michael Gilchrist SF 33 6'7'' 214 A- A C- A B C
fbb_oRtg | TS% | TO% | REB% | BLK% | STL% |
119 | 54.50% | 6.92% | 8.40% | 0.30% | 1.40% |
9. Antonio Ramsey SF 29 6'9'' 266 A- B+ C B B C
fbb_oRtg | TS% | TO% | REB% | BLK% | STL% |
118.1 | 56.40% | 9.01% | 8.40% | 1.10% | 1.60% |
10. J.D. Quincy SF 26 6'5'' 225 A- A- B+ B+ B+ C
fbb_oRtg | TS% | TO% | REB% | BLK% | STL% |
113.4 | 55.50% | 13.20% | 8.50% | 2.30% | 1.70% |
Honorable Mention:
Ricky Roe - Still one of the better offensive SFs in the league. His defense is pretty brutal though, and with so many great SFs I just couldn't convince myself to put him in the top 10.
Kwan Xi - Efficiency superstar, if you need a role player Kwan Xi is pretty much the ultimate. He won't put up volume, but he's an awesome rebounder, shoots the ball really well, and doesn't turn the ball over.
Calvin Fewell - Ugly ratings, great results. Statistically he belongs in the top 10.
AJ Perkins - He's solid, not really great at anything, but still above average in efficiency.
Derrick Williams - His rebounding at SF is a huge plus, but not off the charts efficient like the other guys on this list.
Sam Jones - Everything outside of his scoring is awesome, but his scoring is really mediocre at this point. It's his rookie season, he'll certainly get better, but it's tough for guys without a 3 point shot to really be quality offensive options in FBB.
Elgin Baylor - Solid all around, the turnovers are a pretty big problem though. He'll definitely crack this list in the near future though.
Kevin White - Turnover prone and his shooting percentages aren't great, but his rebounding helps make up for it.
Wayne Worthington - Doesn't turn the ball over, blocks shots, but not the most efficient shooter.
Ryan Edison - Nice efficient role player, could shoot better though.
Dishonorable Mention:
J.J. Erving - He had an awful season, but I still have faith in him. He would have made the top 10 a year ago, I have to think his performance was due to bad luck and small sample size. Despite the awful shooting, his oRtg was still average-ish.
J.D. Quincy - Yeah, I have him in the top 10, but it's really ridiculous how mediocre he is offensively with those ratings.
Jack Twyman - Him and Hagan came into the league with similar ratings, but Twyman's production can't touch Hagan's.
Nolan Ellison - Turnover prone and doesn't shoot well.
Amos Sexson - Turnovers galore
Timothy Rouser - See above.
Randy Sharpe - AWFUL shooter.