Post by repole ಠ_ಠ on Jun 10, 2011 12:32:52 GMT -5
Spreadsheet here
I'm not sure if it's going to let you sort things or not, if it doesn't just download the file and open it in excel. I figured this would be easier and more useful than listing the top teams in TO%, FTA/FGA, etc.
Glossary:
Pace - Possessions per game.
oRtg - Points per 100 possessions.
dRtg - Points allowed per 100 possessions.
diff - oRtg-dRtg
Py Wins - Projected wins based on point differential
TMScPossessions - Number of possessions a team scored on. Mostly used for calculating oRtg.
TMPlay% - % of possessions a team scores on
TMOREB Weight - ignore this, used for calculating individual oRtg.
TS% - Points per shot taken (factoring in that 1 free throw is roughly equal to .44 FGA)
OR% - Percentage of offensive rebounds grabbed, ORB/(ORB+opponent DRB)...we dont have offensive rebound stats so this is an estimate.
DR% - Percentage of defensive rebounds grabbed, DRB/(DRB+opponent ORB)...we dont have defensive rebound stats so this is an estimate.
REB% - Percentage of rebounds grabbed.
AST% - Percentage of field goals that were assisted.
STL% - Percentage of opponent possessions that ended in a steal.
BLK% - Percentage of opponent shots (factoring in FTs as well) that were blocked.
TOV% - Percentage of possessions that ended in a turnover.
Notes:
-The Bucks and TWolves are clearly the upper class of the league. They've theoretically both under performed their expected wins (important to note however that projected wins using the Pythagorean method tends to exagerate the best/worst teams too much...).
-Tier 2 features the Cavs and Bulls, with the Bobcats and Clippers the next step down. It'd be pretty shocking to see someone other than the Bucks/TWolves/Cavs/Bulls/Cats/Clippers win it all.
-The Hornets have overachieved quite a bit according to their oRtg/dRtg differential. Heading into day 100 they were much closer to a .500 team than a .622 team, though this last sim featured a few blow out wins which will make them look a lot better by this measure.
-Really interesting note: There doesn't seem to be much of a correlation between assists and how good a team's offense is. Perhaps FBB programmed this in a cheap way? Maybe all those 11 APG point guards aren't all that valuable....
I'm not sure if it's going to let you sort things or not, if it doesn't just download the file and open it in excel. I figured this would be easier and more useful than listing the top teams in TO%, FTA/FGA, etc.
Glossary:
Pace - Possessions per game.
oRtg - Points per 100 possessions.
dRtg - Points allowed per 100 possessions.
diff - oRtg-dRtg
Py Wins - Projected wins based on point differential
TMScPossessions - Number of possessions a team scored on. Mostly used for calculating oRtg.
TMPlay% - % of possessions a team scores on
TMOREB Weight - ignore this, used for calculating individual oRtg.
TS% - Points per shot taken (factoring in that 1 free throw is roughly equal to .44 FGA)
OR% - Percentage of offensive rebounds grabbed, ORB/(ORB+opponent DRB)...we dont have offensive rebound stats so this is an estimate.
DR% - Percentage of defensive rebounds grabbed, DRB/(DRB+opponent ORB)...we dont have defensive rebound stats so this is an estimate.
REB% - Percentage of rebounds grabbed.
AST% - Percentage of field goals that were assisted.
STL% - Percentage of opponent possessions that ended in a steal.
BLK% - Percentage of opponent shots (factoring in FTs as well) that were blocked.
TOV% - Percentage of possessions that ended in a turnover.
Notes:
-The Bucks and TWolves are clearly the upper class of the league. They've theoretically both under performed their expected wins (important to note however that projected wins using the Pythagorean method tends to exagerate the best/worst teams too much...).
-Tier 2 features the Cavs and Bulls, with the Bobcats and Clippers the next step down. It'd be pretty shocking to see someone other than the Bucks/TWolves/Cavs/Bulls/Cats/Clippers win it all.
-The Hornets have overachieved quite a bit according to their oRtg/dRtg differential. Heading into day 100 they were much closer to a .500 team than a .622 team, though this last sim featured a few blow out wins which will make them look a lot better by this measure.
-Really interesting note: There doesn't seem to be much of a correlation between assists and how good a team's offense is. Perhaps FBB programmed this in a cheap way? Maybe all those 11 APG point guards aren't all that valuable....