Post by Jordan on May 7, 2012 19:12:52 GMT -5
1. Adrian Dantley SF 6'5'' 208 20 A- C+ D+ C+ C+ A
Most GMs would say Dantley isn’t the clear cut #1. He is a wing in a league with a surplus of wings so he might not be. I think he is though. Dantley is going to be a better version of Dan Issel. Probably a much better version. Anytime a player’s notes say “big time scorer with exceptional potential,” you have to consider him at the top . He will score 30+ ppg on most teams. His only weakness is his defense. While that may be a concern, Issel had the same issues coming in and has become an above average defender. I think that easily takes care of any concerns of Dantley becoming a defensive liability. However, I’m not sure if Dantley will ever be valued as a top 10 player. If he is the lastest 35+ ppg player, he obviously will be. If he only puts up 30 with no defensive stats, I don’t think he would warrant that label. This could give someone the excuse of looking elsewhere with the top overall selection.
2. Micheal Ray Richardson PG 6'5'' 189 21 B C A- A- C+ A
MRR has two obvious flaws. Lack of a 3-point shot and poor handles. I think this can justify him going as low as pick 4 because those two flaws at PG can really limit what a team can do down the road. No one wants a PG who turns it over, and having a PG who isn’t going to shoot 3’s makes it difficult to run an outside offense (Boston did do it successfully with Attles though). Nevertheless, he has great speed along with a jump shot and the ability to steal and block shots. The fact that he will produce blocks and steals will make many GMs compare him to Carl Cole, but everyone will expect MRR to be better on the offensive end. MRR will be one of the more interesting players develop over the next few years. I think the fact that he may be an elite PG makes him the #2 guy.
3. Tree Rollins C 7'1'' 235 21 B- C D- A- B- A
I will admit I don’t know how Tree’s lack of speed will hurt him as a center. I will leave it to someone with FBB to explain if it is highly detrimental. Other than his lack of speed, I love Tree. He reminds me of Eddy Curry since he sounds like a center who will put up big offensive numbers with nothing better than a B inside rating. He also sounds like he will be a 3+ bpg center from day 1. I’m not sure if Parrish will ever get to that level so that is why I have Tree at #3.
4. Robert Parish C 7'0'' 230 23 B- C- D B B A
As I noted above, Parish goes #4 because of concerns about his shot blocking. I think he will end up as a 2bpg guy. Although this is better than nothing, it will keep Parish from ever being as valuable as Tree in my opinion. Other than this, Parish really has no apparent flaws. He should develop into a great player who any team can use.
5. Alex English SG 6'7'' 190 22 B+ C+ C C C A
English will be a very good SG. However, it has been well documented the league’s depth at the SG position. Taking this into account makes English fall to #5. I think you can warrant taking him higher based on the fact that he is a “big time scorer with very good potential.” This was part of my justification for saying Dantley is the best prospect. The key difference between the two is obviously their starting ratings. If it turns out that English is a good stealer, it will make who goes where in the top 5 much more interesting. I would expect English to be a 26+ ppg player.
6. Dennis Johnson PG 6'4'' 185 22 B C C+ A- C B
I already brought Carl Cole up once, but I have to do it again. Johnson, like MRR, is going to get steals and blocks. This is incredibly valuable and could result in a GM reaching to take Johnson higher than 6. I doubt it though. Given the amount of PGs with good handles in this draft, I would be wary of the fact that Johnson’s handles are only “solid.” I would expect a good longterm starter in the mold of Em Bryant
7. Sonny Parker SF 6'6'' 200 21 B+ C C+ A- C+ B
Parker is going to be a very solid player. He is going to score, not turn it over, and cause turnovers. However, I have a feeling he will have C potential after his first TC. Since Parker seems to already be well developed, this should not be a big deal. However, most GMs do not want players to lose their potential while they are still rebuilding. Since this is likely the case, Parker could slide. Especially considering the amount of PG talent in the draft.
8. John Lucas PG 6'3'' 175 23 C B B+ A- D B
Lucas sounds a little too flawed for my liking. If he is ACed, I think he could develop into a nice PG. With a lack of inside and 3 point scoring, Lucas probably won’t be an elite scorer, but his handles and defense will make him a nice player.
9. James Edwards C 7'0'' 225 20 B C- D B- C+ A
It sounds as though Edwards will be the next big man who can only provide scoring. Plenty of GMs find value in this, but it never seems to result in playoff success. On the right team, Edwards can be very valuable, but I find it hard to warrant taking him higher than this because of the lack of value he will see from several GMs. Does it really make sense to use a high lotto pick on a player who at any point in his career will probably only garner a maximum two future firsts in return? I don’t think so.
10. Bob Wilkerson SG 6'6'' 195 22 B B C C+ C B
Wilkerson may be worth a higher pick because he has “decent upside.” I’m not sure if this is a good or bad thing, but it is worth taking a risk on at this point in the draft. Wilkerson sounds like he will be another SG that may have a future as a starter. Under most scenarios, I would consider taking Wilkerson higher based on his notes. The reason he falls to 11 is because I am confident you can get a better SG for cheaper than the 11 pick and the likelihood of getting better a SG with better notes in a future draft.
11. Johnny Davis PG 6'2'' 170 21 B C+ C+ B C- B
Davis could easily go higher in the draft. I just feel the need to have some separation between him and the other PGs. He could easily be the 11th prospect or lower on any board. I do have him slightly above Buckner for the 4th PG in this draft. I think he will have more potential to develop whereas Buckner is the better player now. Both will likely be starters down the road.
12. Quinn Buckner PG 6'3'' 190 22 B- C+ B- A C- B
Buckner sounds like a very solid PG. I doubt he has much room to grow, but he will be an effective starter. After the top 3 PGs, I think it is a matter of preference on the rest. Buckner could easily be the 4th 5th or 6th PG taken in this draft.
13. Wally Walker SF 6'7'' 190 22 B C C A- C B
The draft really falls off after the top 5 to 8. At this point, no one is close to being worth the selection imo. If you have a good feeling on a guy, I would go with it. I have Walker at 13 only because he is the next best prospect left in my opinion.
14. Mike Dunleavy PG 6'3'' 180 22 C+ B B C+ D+ B
Dunleavy is the fifth PG in the top 14. He could be higher, but I prefer the other PGs based on their notes, defense, and rebounding. Dunleavy will at least be a descent backup at the 1/2.
15. Alvin Scott SF 6'7'' 185 21 B- C C A C B
Scott isn’t going to hurt you anywhere. He won’t turn it over and will provide great defense. Its more of a question if you can afford his offense and lack of rebounding. He should be a descent role player somewhere.
Most GMs would say Dantley isn’t the clear cut #1. He is a wing in a league with a surplus of wings so he might not be. I think he is though. Dantley is going to be a better version of Dan Issel. Probably a much better version. Anytime a player’s notes say “big time scorer with exceptional potential,” you have to consider him at the top . He will score 30+ ppg on most teams. His only weakness is his defense. While that may be a concern, Issel had the same issues coming in and has become an above average defender. I think that easily takes care of any concerns of Dantley becoming a defensive liability. However, I’m not sure if Dantley will ever be valued as a top 10 player. If he is the lastest 35+ ppg player, he obviously will be. If he only puts up 30 with no defensive stats, I don’t think he would warrant that label. This could give someone the excuse of looking elsewhere with the top overall selection.
2. Micheal Ray Richardson PG 6'5'' 189 21 B C A- A- C+ A
MRR has two obvious flaws. Lack of a 3-point shot and poor handles. I think this can justify him going as low as pick 4 because those two flaws at PG can really limit what a team can do down the road. No one wants a PG who turns it over, and having a PG who isn’t going to shoot 3’s makes it difficult to run an outside offense (Boston did do it successfully with Attles though). Nevertheless, he has great speed along with a jump shot and the ability to steal and block shots. The fact that he will produce blocks and steals will make many GMs compare him to Carl Cole, but everyone will expect MRR to be better on the offensive end. MRR will be one of the more interesting players develop over the next few years. I think the fact that he may be an elite PG makes him the #2 guy.
3. Tree Rollins C 7'1'' 235 21 B- C D- A- B- A
I will admit I don’t know how Tree’s lack of speed will hurt him as a center. I will leave it to someone with FBB to explain if it is highly detrimental. Other than his lack of speed, I love Tree. He reminds me of Eddy Curry since he sounds like a center who will put up big offensive numbers with nothing better than a B inside rating. He also sounds like he will be a 3+ bpg center from day 1. I’m not sure if Parrish will ever get to that level so that is why I have Tree at #3.
4. Robert Parish C 7'0'' 230 23 B- C- D B B A
As I noted above, Parish goes #4 because of concerns about his shot blocking. I think he will end up as a 2bpg guy. Although this is better than nothing, it will keep Parish from ever being as valuable as Tree in my opinion. Other than this, Parish really has no apparent flaws. He should develop into a great player who any team can use.
5. Alex English SG 6'7'' 190 22 B+ C+ C C C A
English will be a very good SG. However, it has been well documented the league’s depth at the SG position. Taking this into account makes English fall to #5. I think you can warrant taking him higher based on the fact that he is a “big time scorer with very good potential.” This was part of my justification for saying Dantley is the best prospect. The key difference between the two is obviously their starting ratings. If it turns out that English is a good stealer, it will make who goes where in the top 5 much more interesting. I would expect English to be a 26+ ppg player.
6. Dennis Johnson PG 6'4'' 185 22 B C C+ A- C B
I already brought Carl Cole up once, but I have to do it again. Johnson, like MRR, is going to get steals and blocks. This is incredibly valuable and could result in a GM reaching to take Johnson higher than 6. I doubt it though. Given the amount of PGs with good handles in this draft, I would be wary of the fact that Johnson’s handles are only “solid.” I would expect a good longterm starter in the mold of Em Bryant
7. Sonny Parker SF 6'6'' 200 21 B+ C C+ A- C+ B
Parker is going to be a very solid player. He is going to score, not turn it over, and cause turnovers. However, I have a feeling he will have C potential after his first TC. Since Parker seems to already be well developed, this should not be a big deal. However, most GMs do not want players to lose their potential while they are still rebuilding. Since this is likely the case, Parker could slide. Especially considering the amount of PG talent in the draft.
8. John Lucas PG 6'3'' 175 23 C B B+ A- D B
Lucas sounds a little too flawed for my liking. If he is ACed, I think he could develop into a nice PG. With a lack of inside and 3 point scoring, Lucas probably won’t be an elite scorer, but his handles and defense will make him a nice player.
9. James Edwards C 7'0'' 225 20 B C- D B- C+ A
It sounds as though Edwards will be the next big man who can only provide scoring. Plenty of GMs find value in this, but it never seems to result in playoff success. On the right team, Edwards can be very valuable, but I find it hard to warrant taking him higher than this because of the lack of value he will see from several GMs. Does it really make sense to use a high lotto pick on a player who at any point in his career will probably only garner a maximum two future firsts in return? I don’t think so.
10. Bob Wilkerson SG 6'6'' 195 22 B B C C+ C B
Wilkerson may be worth a higher pick because he has “decent upside.” I’m not sure if this is a good or bad thing, but it is worth taking a risk on at this point in the draft. Wilkerson sounds like he will be another SG that may have a future as a starter. Under most scenarios, I would consider taking Wilkerson higher based on his notes. The reason he falls to 11 is because I am confident you can get a better SG for cheaper than the 11 pick and the likelihood of getting better a SG with better notes in a future draft.
11. Johnny Davis PG 6'2'' 170 21 B C+ C+ B C- B
Davis could easily go higher in the draft. I just feel the need to have some separation between him and the other PGs. He could easily be the 11th prospect or lower on any board. I do have him slightly above Buckner for the 4th PG in this draft. I think he will have more potential to develop whereas Buckner is the better player now. Both will likely be starters down the road.
12. Quinn Buckner PG 6'3'' 190 22 B- C+ B- A C- B
Buckner sounds like a very solid PG. I doubt he has much room to grow, but he will be an effective starter. After the top 3 PGs, I think it is a matter of preference on the rest. Buckner could easily be the 4th 5th or 6th PG taken in this draft.
13. Wally Walker SF 6'7'' 190 22 B C C A- C B
The draft really falls off after the top 5 to 8. At this point, no one is close to being worth the selection imo. If you have a good feeling on a guy, I would go with it. I have Walker at 13 only because he is the next best prospect left in my opinion.
14. Mike Dunleavy PG 6'3'' 180 22 C+ B B C+ D+ B
Dunleavy is the fifth PG in the top 14. He could be higher, but I prefer the other PGs based on their notes, defense, and rebounding. Dunleavy will at least be a descent backup at the 1/2.
15. Alvin Scott SF 6'7'' 185 21 B- C C A C B
Scott isn’t going to hurt you anywhere. He won’t turn it over and will provide great defense. Its more of a question if you can afford his offense and lack of rebounding. He should be a descent role player somewhere.
